Spartak Moskova 3-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Jul 2026

Spartak Moskova
3-0 HT 1-0
FK Rodina Moskva
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2026/2027

Spartak Moskova vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.1
X/1
21%
3.8
X/2
7%
15.65
X/X
8%
7.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.5
2/2
4%
12.95
2/X
6%
21.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.8pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +74% / +74%
2.01/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +146% / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Spartak Moskova 3-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
2.50 xG 0.55
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
436 Passes 262
55 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Spartak Moskova vs FK Rodina Moskva
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Spartak Moskova ran out comfortable winners over FK Rodina Moskva 3-0 in the Russia - Premier League on 25 Jul 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.50 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Spartak Moskova 3-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - Premier League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 67%, draw 18%, FK Rodina Moskva 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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