Spartak Trnava 1-1 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 34% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.73/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.72
-21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.6 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Skalica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.47 xG 0.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
13.09.2025 Skalica Skalica 0-4 HT 0-2 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
30.11.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 2-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
24.08.2024 Skalica Skalica 1-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
03.12.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
27.08.2023 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-1
AWAY Skalica
1.31 xG 0.62
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
346 Passes 206
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava and Skalica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Trnava at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.31 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.17 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Skalica?

Spartak Trnava 1-1 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 51%, draw 24%, Skalica 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Trnava), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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