Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Shamrock Rovers
1-1 HT 0-0
Galway United
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.28
6+ Goals
11%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
15%
4.13
X/2
13%
7.66
X/X
14%
4.28
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.23
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shamrock Rovers v Galway United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.76/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.00
+16% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.9 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Galway United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.01 xG 0.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
502 Passes 115
82% Pass Accuracy 54%
30 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.07.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
06.09.2019 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
18.08.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
22.05.2017 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Galway United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-1
AWAY Galway United
0.70 xG 0.80
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
566 Passes 144
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and Galway United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 74% of the ball to Galway United's 26%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 43%, draw 28%, Galway United 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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