Friska Viljor FC 2-3 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+132% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Friska Viljor FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 1-2 HT 1-1 Friska Viljor FC Friska Viljor FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Friska Viljor FC
2-3
AWAY Karlbergs BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Friska Viljor FC vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK nicked a narrow win over Friska Viljor FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karlbergs BK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Friska Viljor FC had 53% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 47%, shots finished 22-12.

What was the final score of Friska Viljor FC vs Karlbergs BK?

Friska Viljor FC 2-3 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Friska Viljor FC vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Friska Viljor FC 22%, draw 28%, Karlbergs BK 50%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
25 Aug 2024
17:00 Hammarby Talang vs Örebro Syrianska Analysis →
17:00 Falkenbergs FF vs Torslanda IK Analysis →
17:00 AFC Malmö vs Tvaaker Analysis →
19:00 Vasalund IF vs Assyriska Analysis →