Vanersborgs FK 0-3 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.76/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.54
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
348 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
2W-0D-2L
AWAY BK Forward
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
27.04.2024 BK Forward BK Forward 0-2 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
21.10.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
10.06.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 4-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
18.09.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-5 HT 2-2 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0-3
AWAY BK Forward
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BK Forward swept aside Vanersborgs FK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 56% of the ball to BK Forward's 44%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 2.25 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs BK Forward?

Vanersborgs FK 0-3 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 43%, draw 21%, BK Forward 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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