BK Forward 0-2 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+10.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.64/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/2.22
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.10.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 1-0 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
10.06.2023 BK Forward BK Forward 4-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
18.09.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-5 HT 2-2 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK saw off BK Forward 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vanersborgs FK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BK Forward had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for BK Forward and 1.33 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Vanersborgs FK?

BK Forward 0-2 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 31%, draw 20%, Vanersborgs FK 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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