Hogaborgs BK 0-2 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
16%
3.54
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.29
Over 2.5
67%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
16%
Draw
25%
-8.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
40%
-7.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
60%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn got the better of Hogaborgs BK 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hogaborgs BK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Karlshamn?

Hogaborgs BK 0-2 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 49%, draw 16%, Karlshamn 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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