Umea FC Akademi 2-3 Skelleftea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.8pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 70%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.07
+43% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Skelleftea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.10.2022 Skelleftea Skelleftea 4-0 HT 4-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
30.10.2021 Umea FC Akademi 1-1 HT 1-0 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Skelleftea Skelleftea 1-2 HT 1-1 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skelleftea nicked a narrow win over Umea FC Akademi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Skelleftea as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 2.00 for Skelleftea.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea?

Umea FC Akademi 2-3 Skelleftea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Skelleftea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 25%, draw 19%, Skelleftea 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skelleftea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
27 Apr 2024
13:30 Hudiksvalls FF vs FC Gute Analysis →
14:00 Hogaborgs BK vs Karlshamn Analysis →
14:00 BK Forward vs Vanersborgs FK Analysis →
14:00 IFK Lulea vs Bergnäsets Analysis →
14:00 FK Karlskrona vs Balkan Analysis →
15:00 Hassleholms IF vs Simrishamn Analysis →