FK Karlskrona 3-1 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +17%
2.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.83
-5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Balkan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
16.09.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
21.05.2023 Balkan Balkan 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
20.08.2022 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 0-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Balkan Balkan 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
23.10.2021 Balkan Balkan 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
13.06.2021 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona saw off Balkan 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Karlskrona and 0.67 for Balkan.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Balkan?

FK Karlskrona 3-1 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 57%, draw 23%, Balkan 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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