Albacete 1-0 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.93
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.63
X/2
11%
6.96
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.23
2/X
11%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.57/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.30
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.3 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elche
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Elche Elche 3-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
04.11.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
13.07.2020 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
21.12.2019 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
03.08.2019 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche HAZ
14.04.2019 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-0
AWAY Elche
1.47 xG 0.94
21% Ball Possession 79%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
149 Passes 749
72% Pass Accuracy 93%
7 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete squeezed past Elche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albacete had 21% of the ball to Elche's 79%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.47 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Elche.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Elche?

Albacete 1-0 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Albacete 36%, draw 30%, Elche 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
25 Aug 2024
22:30 CD Castellon vs Real Oviedo Analysis →