Elche vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Albacete — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
2-0
HT 0-0
Albacete
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Elche
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Albacete
İS2
Elche 3-2 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics
Elche squeezed past Albacete 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elche had 68% of the ball to Albacete's 32%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.72 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elche's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elche and 0.67 for Albacete.
What was the final score of Elche vs Albacete?
Elche 3-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Albacete?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Elche 55%, draw 25%, Albacete 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.