Racing Ferrol 2-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

Racing Ferrol
2-0 HT 1-0
Valladolid
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Racing Ferrol vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.69
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
11%
5.76
X/2
11%
4.88
X/X
20%
3.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.72
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
0.98/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
+47% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.5 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Racing Ferrol vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.77 xG 1.03
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
251 Passes 369
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
10.06.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
15.01.2006 Valladolid Valladolid 3-3 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
08.05.2005 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
05.12.2004 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-3 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2

Racing Ferrol 2-0 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
2-0
AWAY Valladolid
0.74 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
291 Passes 271
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol beat Valladolid 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Racing Ferrol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 51% of the ball to Valladolid's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.74 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.60 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Valladolid?

Racing Ferrol 2-0 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 28%, draw 33%, Valladolid 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valladolid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
17 Mar 2024
16:00 Leganes vs Mirandes Analysis →
20:30 Elche vs Albacete Analysis →
20:30 Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol Analysis →