Real Zaragoza 0-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.15
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
17%
3.28
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.35
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.6 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.47 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
08.05.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
29.11.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
26.01.2013 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.08.2012 Espanyol Espanyol 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS1
12.02.2012 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
0-1
AWAY Espanyol
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
387 Passes 227
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol edged past Real Zaragoza 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Espanyol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 60% of the ball to Espanyol's 40%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.67 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol?

Real Zaragoza 0-1 Espanyol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 39%, draw 30%, Espanyol 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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