Leganes 4-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
5.87
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
18%
3.7
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
18%
3.72
2/1
12%
32.5
2/2
7%
8.12
2/X
5%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.49/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.41
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.5 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mirandes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
25.02.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
06.12.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
06.03.2022 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
26.09.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 1-2 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
19.05.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
4-0
AWAY Mirandes
2.60 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
373 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes cruised past Mirandes 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Leganes had 49% of the ball to Mirandes's 51%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.60 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leganes and 0.67 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Mirandes?

Leganes 4-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leganes 50%, draw 29%, Mirandes 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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