Lugano II 1-2 Brühl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brühl EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.38/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.74
-19% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Brühl
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
21.04.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 4-0 HT 2-0 Brühl Brühl İSV1Y
18.10.2023 Brühl Brühl 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-2
AWAY Brühl
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Brühl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brühl nicked a narrow win over Lugano II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lugano II had 52% of the ball to Brühl's 48%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lugano II and 0.50 for Brühl.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Brühl?

Lugano II 1-2 Brühl in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Brühl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 46%, draw 20%, Brühl 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✓ Over 2.5
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