Vaduz 3-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.61/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.92
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.1 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
18.03.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-0 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
19.10.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-5 HT 0-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
02.10.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
14.05.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 2-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
25.02.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
3.09 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
294 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz got the better of Stade Ouchy 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vaduz had 54% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 46%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.09 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vaduz and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Stade Ouchy?

Vaduz 3-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 39%, draw 26%, Stade Ouchy 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
25 Aug 2024
17:30 Thun vs Stade Nyonnais Analysis →