Thun 4-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.88/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.28
+2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.0 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2024 Thun Thun 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
27.04.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.02.2024 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.07.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
15.09.2019 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-1 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
4-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
3.53 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 22
10 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 7
238 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thun vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun beat Stade Nyonnais 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thun had 45% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 55%, shots finished 21-22, expected goals 3.53 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 0.83 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Thun 4-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Thun 53%, draw 23%, Stade Nyonnais 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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