Thun 3-0 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
53%
-17.2pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.15/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +61%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.02.2024 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.07.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
15.09.2019 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-1 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSVK
25.10.2017 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-0
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thun vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun ran out comfortable winners over Stade Nyonnais 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Thun made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thun had 48% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 52%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 1.00 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Thun 3-0 Stade Nyonnais in the Friendlies on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Thun 36%, draw 30%, Stade Nyonnais 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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