Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
36%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 29% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
23%
+12.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
36%
Away Win
53%
-17.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 57%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.71
+67% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.2 Crosses 22.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.33 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
24.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.07.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
15.09.2019 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-1 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSVK
25.10.2017 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
0-0
AWAY Thun
0.42 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
253 Passes 321
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais and Thun played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 45% of the ball to Thun's 55%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.42 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.20 for Thun.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Thun?

Stade Nyonnais 0-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 36%, draw 28%, Thun 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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