Vaduz 6-0 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 27 Apr 2024

Vaduz
6-0 HT 2-0
Baden
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.62
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.86/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.54
+11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
30.0 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Baden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.14 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
443 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Baden Baden 1-1 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
05.11.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-2 HT 1-1 Baden Baden İSV2
13.08.2023 Baden Baden 2-3 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
6-0
AWAY Baden
2.37 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
430 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz cruised past Baden 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Vaduz had 56% of the ball to Baden's 44%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.37 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vaduz and 1.67 for Baden.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Baden?

Vaduz 6-0 Baden in the Switzerland Challenge League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 51%, draw 25%, Baden 24%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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