Basel 2-0 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

Basel
2-0 HT 1-0
Yverdon
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Basel vs Yverdon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
14%
3.76
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
8%
6.65
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
9%
8.83
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
17.45
Value flag · 2/X at 17.45 — our 9% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Yverdon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
2.08/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.69
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.8 Crosses 11.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Basel vs Yverdon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
334 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.05.2024 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.02.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
05.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.09.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 3-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
03.05.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 1-3 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
26.02.2006 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV

Basel 2-0 Yverdon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
2-0
AWAY Yverdon
2.07 xG 1.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
456 Passes 322
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
42 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Basel vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel got the better of Yverdon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel had 57% of the ball to Yverdon's 43%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.07 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Basel vs Yverdon?

Basel 2-0 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Basel 54%, draw 24%, Yverdon 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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