Freiburg II 2-1 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.70
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II squeezed past SGV Freiberg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?

Freiburg II 2-1 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 56%, draw 22%, SGV Freiberg 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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