Holstein Kiel II 5-1 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.83
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-4 HT 1-3 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-2 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
06.02.2022 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 3-4 HT 2-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
26.09.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 4-4 HT 2-2 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II swept aside Eintracht Norderstedt 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Holstein Kiel II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 2.00 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Holstein Kiel II 5-1 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Norderstedt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 38%, draw 23%, Eintracht Norderstedt 39%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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