Mainz 05 II 3-1 FC Giessen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.12
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Giessen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.01.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mainz 05 II
3-1
AWAY FC Giessen
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs FC Giessen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II got the better of FC Giessen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mainz 05 II had 59% of the ball to FC Giessen's 41%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.00 for FC Giessen.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs FC Giessen?

Mainz 05 II 3-1 FC Giessen in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs FC Giessen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 42%, draw 30%, FC Giessen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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