Zira 0-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

Zira
0-1 HT 0-1
Shamakhi
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Zira vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.97/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.86
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Zira vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.05.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
03.03.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
13.12.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
07.10.2022 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
21.05.2022 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.02.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi nicked a narrow win over Zira 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zira at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zira and 0.33 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Zira vs Shamakhi?

Zira 0-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zira 55%, draw 22%, Shamakhi 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Zira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ BTTS No
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25 Aug 2024
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