Sabah 3-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
1.20/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.88
-26% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah beat Sumqayıt 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sabah and 0.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Sumqayıt?

Sabah 3-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sabah 42%, draw 32%, Sumqayıt 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
25 Aug 2024
19:30 Zira vs Shamakhi Analysis →