Sabah 2-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
39%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
44%
-11.6pp
39%
Draw
27%
+11.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +29%
1.22/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.69
-7% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
267 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sumqayıt
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.12.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-6 HT 0-4 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah saw off Sumqayıt 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 30% — and on the day Sabah made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Sabah and 0.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Sumqayıt?

Sabah 2-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sabah 32%, draw 39%, Sumqayıt 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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18 May 2024
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