Kapaz 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 May 2024

Kapaz
0-1 HT 0-0
Zira
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Kapaz vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
31%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.33/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.54
+31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kapaz vs Zira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Zira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
21.10.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
12.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.05.2023 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
10.03.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
25.12.2022 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira edged past Kapaz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kapaz and 1.17 for Zira.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Zira?

Kapaz 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 20%, draw 26%, Zira 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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