Dender EH 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
46%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.69
1/2
6%
21.45
1/X
6%
18.0
X/1
10%
12.5
X/2
18%
3.66
X/X
13%
6.28
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.82
2/X
8%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
63%
-17.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 67%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.43/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.99
-97% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 77%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
13.0 Crosses 20.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
07.02.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.09.2008 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
22.03.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
20.10.2007 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
1.25 xG 1.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
300 Passes 552
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 35
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Dender EH 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dender EH had 38% of the ball to Club Brugge's 62%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dender EH and 1.25 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Club Brugge?

Dender EH 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 28%, draw 26%, Club Brugge 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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