Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
22%
4.12
X/2
11%
8.66
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
10%
6.58
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.80/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.33
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.0 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
14.04.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
03.02.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.09.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
04.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-2 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-0
AWAY Kortrijk
1.09 xG 0.42
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
447 Passes 183
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi squeezed past Kortrijk 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 67% of the ball to Kortrijk's 33%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 0.83 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Kortrijk?

Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 45%, draw 28%, Kortrijk 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
25 Aug 2024
14:30 Dender EH vs Club Brugge Analysis →
17:00 St. Truidense vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
19:30 Standard Liege vs Beerschot VA Analysis →