Neman Grodno 3-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.07
6+ Goals
17%
9.78
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.7pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.96/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.89
-9% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
20.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
18.06.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-3 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
14.04.2018 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
11.09.2017 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
26.10.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
3-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
76% Ball Possession 24%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno saw off Dnepr Mogilev 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 76% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 24%, shots finished 23-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.33 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Neman Grodno 3-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 61%, draw 22%, Dnepr Mogilev 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 Aug 2024
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