Gor Mahia 5-1 Al Merreikh Juba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.5pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Merreikh Juba EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Al Merreikh Juba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia ran out comfortable winners over Al Merreikh Juba 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Al Merreikh Juba?

Gor Mahia 5-1 Al Merreikh Juba in the CAF Champions League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Al Merreikh Juba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 54%, draw 32%, Al Merreikh Juba 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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