Samatex 1-0 Victoria United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samatex EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Victoria United EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samatex
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Victoria United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
18.08.2024 Victoria United Victoria United 0-1 HT 0-0 Samatex CAFŞL
POST-MATCH Samatex vs Victoria United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samatex squeezed past Victoria United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samatex as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Samatex vs Victoria United?

Samatex 1-0 Victoria United in the CAF Champions League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samatex vs Victoria United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samatex win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Samatex 54%, draw 23%, Victoria United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samatex), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samatex) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL More CAF Champions League
25 Aug 2024
15:00 Gor Mahia vs Al Merreikh Juba Analysis →
16:00 Coton Sport Ouidah vs Douanes Analysis →
19:00 Monastir vs AS PSI Analysis →
22:00 Belouizdad vs Leopards de Dolisie Analysis →