Jarun 2-2 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 29%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.22/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.68
-16% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +124%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dugopolje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-2 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
25.11.2023 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
2-2
AWAY Dugopolje
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Dugopolje couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jarun at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jarun had 44% of the ball to Dugopolje's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dugopolje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jarun and 2.00 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Jarun 2-2 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jarun 42%, draw 25%, Dugopolje 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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