Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Aug 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
2-0 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.54
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
16%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.2
X/2
10%
9.78
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
12%
6.85
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.55
Value flag · 2/X at 14.55 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.84
+20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Go Ahead Eagles vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3W-1D-2L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
11.11.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
19.04.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 HT 2-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.02.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.01.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
02.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.26 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
587 Passes 256
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles beat RKC Waalwijk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 67% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 33%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.33 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 45%, draw 27%, RKC Waalwijk 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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