Heracles 1-1 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 25 Aug 2024

Heracles
1-1 HT 1-1
Willem II
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.45
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.21
X/2
17%
5.87
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.07
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Willem II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.46/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.25
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
23.9 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Heracles vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Willem II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2023 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
04.11.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-2 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL2
07.05.2022 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
02.10.2021 Heracles Heracles 3-2 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
10.04.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-0 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
20.09.2020 Willem II Willem II 4-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 1-1 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
1-1
AWAY Willem II
1.05 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
373 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Heracles vs Willem II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Heracles and Willem II shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25 Aug 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Heracles had 54% of the ball to Willem II's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.05 to 0.74.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heracles and 1.67 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Willem II?

Heracles 1-1 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Heracles 31%, draw 26%, Willem II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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