Cavalry 1-0 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.94/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
+15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +110%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.4 Crosses 11.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.55 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.04.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
21.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
08.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
28.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
09.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
1-0
AWAY Pacific FC
1.49 xG 0.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
489 Passes 214
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry edged past Pacific FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cavalry had 66% of the ball to Pacific FC's 34%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.49 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 0.50 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Pacific FC?

Cavalry 1-0 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 44%, draw 25%, Pacific FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ BTTS No
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