Valour 1-2 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Valour Valour 2-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
15.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
21.09.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
25.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-2
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.16 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valour vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC edged past Valour 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valour had 57% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.16 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valour.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valour and 0.83 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Valour 1-2 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valour 30%, draw 27%, Vancouver FC 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
25 Aug 2024
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