Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Muranga All Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.38
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0-1
AWAY Muranga All Stars
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars nicked a narrow win over Ulinzi Stars 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulinzi Stars at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 49% of the ball to Muranga All Stars's 51%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga All Stars?

Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Muranga All Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 48%, draw 32%, Muranga All Stars 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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