Deportes Tolima 0-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.22/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.11
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.1 Crosses 13.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 408
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.12.2023 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 3-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.09.2023 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
17.04.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
0-1
AWAY Junior
0.82 xG 0.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
372 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior nicked a narrow win over Deportes Tolima 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 54% of the ball to Junior's 46%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.82 to 0.23 — on chances, Deportes Tolima could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Junior.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

Deportes Tolima 0-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 44%, draw 28%, Junior 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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