Tukums II 1-2 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

Tukums II
1-2 HT 1-2
Smiltene
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Tukums II vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+9.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.5pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tukums II v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.55/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tukums II vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0 Corners 3
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-2 HT 0-1 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
16.09.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 0-3 HT 0-2 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
14.05.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 2-1 HT 0-1 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smiltene edged past Tukums II 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Smiltene found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tukums II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tukums II and 0.33 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Smiltene?

Tukums II 1-2 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 42%, draw 21%, Smiltene 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tukums II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tukums II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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