Arendal 1-6 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

Arendal
1-6 HT 1-3
Hodd
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
2.45/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.86
+56% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +80%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hodd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.06.2024 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
26.10.2019 Hodd Hodd 0-3 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd swept aside Arendal 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arendal and 1.00 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Hodd?

Arendal 1-6 Hodd in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arendal 29%, draw 24%, Hodd 47%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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