Kalisz 1-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.63/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.50
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-2
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec edged past Kalisz 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Zaglebie Sosnowiec made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kalisz had 43% of the ball to Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 57%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Kalisz 1-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 35%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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