Zaglebie Lubin II 3-3 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.49
No
54%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 27% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.7pp
54%
BTTS No
37%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
3-3
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II and Rekord Bielsko-Biala shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 68% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 32%, shots finished 23-6.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Zaglebie Lubin II 3-3 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 37%, draw 26%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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