FK Ufa 3-4 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 49%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.50
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +93%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 380
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
12.09.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-1 HT 2-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
25.04.2021 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
06.11.2020 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
24.11.2019 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
04.08.2019 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
3-4
AWAY FC Sochi
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi edged past FK Ufa 4-3 away from home. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day FC Sochi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Ufa had 48% of the ball to FC Sochi's 52%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Ufa and 1.67 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs FC Sochi?

FK Ufa 3-4 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 35%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 39%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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