Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.54/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.34
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
04.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
30.07.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Chernomorets
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow and Chernomorets shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 50% of the ball to Chernomorets's 50%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.00 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets?

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 54%, draw 24%, Chernomorets 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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