Kryvbas KR 1-1 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.85/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.23
+2% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Inhulets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.05.2023 Inhulets Inhulets 0-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
24.10.2022 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 2-1 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
1-1
AWAY Inhulets
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR and Inhulets shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kryvbas KR at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.50 for Inhulets.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Inhulets?

Kryvbas KR 1-1 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 49%, draw 30%, Inhulets 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kryvbas KR), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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