Polessya 4-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.26
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
443 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2 Corners 5
16.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
02.09.2023 Polessya Polessya 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya ran out comfortable winners over Obolon Kyiv 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polessya and 0.50 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv?

Polessya 4-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Polessya 49%, draw 26%, Obolon Kyiv 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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