Panathinaikos 1-0 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.44
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
27.5
X/1
20%
3.22
X/2
8%
24.45
X/X
6%
7.51
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
5%
21.25
2/X
6%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.74/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.63
-10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.6
21.9 Crosses 13.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Levadiakos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
375 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2023 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
03.09.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
03.02.2019 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
23.09.2018 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
14.01.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3-2 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.01.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3-2 HT 2-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-0
AWAY Levadiakos
2.26 xG 0.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
481 Passes 145
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Levadiakos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 72% of the ball to Levadiakos's 28%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Levadiakos?

Panathinaikos 1-0 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 64%, draw 20%, Levadiakos 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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