Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.58
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
9%
8.04
X/X
19%
4.21
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.40/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.15
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.8 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Volos NFC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
14.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
24.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis HAZ
21.12.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
19.08.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3-3 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AWAY Volos NFC
1.50 xG 0.46
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
511 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
47 Box Touches 4
54 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 70% of the ball to Volos NFC's 30%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.50 to 0.46 — on chances, Asteras Tripolis could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.17 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 45%, draw 31%, Volos NFC 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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